2005 RACE TO THE CHASE:  STEWART STREAKING,  KENSETH & EARNHARDT MAKING UP GROUND

 

THE HEAT INDEX

(Last 5 Races)

RED HOT                                                                 ICE COLD

1—Tony Stewart                  905                                          1—Jeff Green                       352

2—Matt Kenseth                 742                                          2—Sterling Marlin                358

3—Rusty Wallace                 728                                          3—Scott Riggs                      386

4—Kurt Busch                      666                                          4—Mike Bliss                       392

5—Greg Biffle                       656                                          5—Travis Kvapil                   395

6—Dale Earnhardt Jr.          637                                          6—Dave Blaney                     416

7—Dale Jarrett                     630                                          7—Kevin Harvick                  434

8—Jeremy Mayfield            626                                          7—Jeff Gordon                     434

9—Ryan Newman                 614                                          9—Kyle Petty                        434

10—Jimmie Johnson          610                                          10—Carl Edwards                441

                                                                                               

 

THE TURNAROUNDS

(Position in Race to the Chase Versus Last Year at this time)

GOOD TURNS                                                                                         BAD TURNS

Rank-Driver                           05            04            Diff.                         Rank-Driver                           05            04            Diff.

1—Greg Biffle                       2              25            +23                          1—Bobby Labonte               23            7              -16

2—Rusty Wallace                 4              19            +15                          2—Jeff Gordon                     15            3              -12

3—Carl Edwards                  12            23            +11                          3—Earnhardt Jr.                   13            2              -11

4—Mark Martin                    7              15            +8                            3—Matt Kenseth                  16            5              -11

5—Jeff Burton                      17            23            +6                            5—Casey Mears                  27            17            -10

5—Joe Nemechek               18            24            +6

 

TREND PROJECTION

(Projecting standings after race #24with California and Richmond remaining, based on last five races)

Rank-Driver (Current)         Pts          Out          Out          Out

                                                                1^st            10^th          11^th         

1—Tony Stewart (3)            3492        --             +646        +660

2—Jimmie Johnson (1)      3282        -210         +436        +450

3—Greg Biffle (2)                 3251        -241         +405        +419

4—Rusty Wallace (4)            3170        -322         +324        +338

5—Kurt Busch (5)                 3013        -479         +167        +181

6—Ryan Newman (6)           2961        -531         +115        +129

7—Jeremy Mayfield (8)      2911        -581         +65          +79

8—Mark Martin (7)               2906        -586         +60          +74

9—Dale Jarrett (10)              2884        -608         +38          +52

10—Matt Kenseth (16)        2846        -646         --             +14

 

11—Earnhardt Jr. (13)         2832        -660         -14           --

12—Jamie McMurray (11)  2796        -696         -50           -36

13—Elliott Sadler (9)            2771        -721         -75           -61

14—Joe Nemechek (18)     2661        -831         -185         -171

15—Carl Edwards (12)        2641        -851         -205         -191

16—Jeff Burton (17)            2612        -880         -234         -220

17—Kyle Busch (19)             2593        -899         -253         -239

18—Kevin Harvick (14)        2583        -909         -263         -249

19—Jeff Gordon (15)           2568        -924         -278         -264

 

 

2005 RACE TO THE CHASE
After Race #19 of 26:  New Hampshire #1

Races Left to the Chase:  7(27%)

 

05/LW/04                                Season  Out of     Out of     Out of     LastRce Gain        Last 5     Finishes                                Top         Top                Bottom   Bonus-

Driver                     Pts.         1^st            10^th          11^th          Fin/Pts    11^th          Pts/Gain 1—2—3                   5s            10s          10s          Penalty Pts

 

1/1/1-Johnson       2672        --            +418        +439        13/124     +30          610/E       2—2—2                   8              13            2              65-25

2/2/25-Biffle           2595        -77           +341        +362        5/155       +61          656/E       5—0—1                   7              11            2              80-0

3/3/4-Stewart        2587        -85           +333        +354        1/190       +96          905/+7     3—3—1                   8              11            0              75-0

4/4/19-RWallace     2442        -230         +188        +209        8/142       +48          728/+4     0—0—0                   4              10            1              25-0

5/10/6-KBusch       2347        -325         +93          +114        2/175       +81          666/+6     1—2—3                   6              10            4              55-0

6/7/10-Newman     2347        -325         +93          +114        7/151       +57          614/E       0—0—1                   4              9              2              55-0

7/6/15-Martin         2320        -352         +66          +87          15/118     +24          586/-2      0—0—3                   5              9              1              25-0

8/9/11-Mayfield     2285        -387         +31          +52          19/106     +12          626/+5     0—0—0                   2              4              0              25-0

9/5/8-Sadler           2276        -396         +22          +43          39/46       -48           495/-6      0—1—0                   1              9              2              30-0

10/11/12-Jarrett    2254        -418         --             +21          16/115     +22          630/+4     0—0—0                   3              5              1              10-0

                                                                                                                Gain

                                                                                                                10th

11/8/13-McMurray2233        -439         -21           --             40/43       -39           563/+1     0—1—0                   4              7              1              5-0

12/12/23-Edwards 2200        -472         -54           -33           12/127     +45          441/-8      2—0—1                   5              7              3              25-0

13/13/2-ErnhrdtJr 2195        -477         -59           -38           9/138       +56          637/+3     1—0—2                   5              8              2              15-0

14/14/9-Harvick     2149        -523         -105         -84           22/97       +15          434/-7      1—0—0                   3              5              1              35-25

15/15/3-JGordon  2134        -538         -120         -99           25/88       +6            434/-6      3—1—0                   5              7              3              50-0

16/16/5-Kenseth  2104        -568         -150         -129         10/134     +52          742/+8     0—1—0                   2              6              2              40-0

17/17/23-JBurton 2085        -587         -169         -148         14/121     +39          527/E       0—0—1                   1              2              1              5-0

18/18/24-Nemche  2067        -605         -187         -166         18/109     +27          594/+2     0—1—1                   1              4              2              35-0

19/20/20-KyBusch 2046        -626         -208         -187         4/160       +78          547/-1      0—2—0                   5              7              4              20-25

20/19/16-Waltrip    2037        -635         -217         -196         17/112     +30          458/-5      0—1—1                   3              7              6              40-0

21/21/14-Kahne     1955        -717         -299         -278         6/155       +73          464/-2      1—1—1                   5              5              6              35-0

22/22/21-Vickers  1916        -756         -338         -317         11/135     +53          472/-1      0—1—0                   3              5              6              40-0

23/24/7-BLabonte 1854        -818         -400         -379         3/165       +83          577/+6     0—1—1                   2              4              6              15-0

24/27/28-Rudd       1774        -898         -480         -459         23/94       +12          603/+9     0—1—0                   1              4              4              10-0

25/23/18-Marlin     1754        -918         -500         -479         34/61       -21           358/-3      0—0—0                   1              3              6              25-0

26/26/30-Riggs      1748        -924         -506         -485         32/67       -15           386/-3      0—0—0                   1              3              3              10-0

27/25/17-Mears     1747        -925         -507         -486         33/64       -18           444/-2      0—1—0                   1              3              4              15-0

28/28/33-Schrader1729        -943         -525         -504         26/85       +3            446/E       0—0—0                   0              3              5              30-0

29/29/28-Blaney     1700        -972         -554         -533         20/103     +21          416/-3      0—0—0                   0              1              4              10-0

30/30/31-Petty       1675        -997         -579         -558         29/81       -1             434/+1     0—0—0                   0              1              3              45-0

31/32/26-Bliss        1657        -1015       -597         -576         21/100     +18          392/-1      0—0—0                   0              0              7              0-0

32/31/34-JGreen  1636        -1036       -618         -597         31/75       -7             352/-5      0—0—0                   0              0              3              15-0

33/33/30-Kvapil      1623        -1049       -631         -610         27/82       E             395/-1      0—0—0                   0              1              2              10-0

34/34/27-Wimmer 1539        -1133       -715         -694         35/63       -19           450/+1     0—0—0                   0              0              4              20-0

35/35/36-MWallace1440        -1232       -814         -793         38/49       -32           318/-1      0—0—0                   0              1              5              30-0

 

LEADER PACE

(The likelihood of the 400-point Wild Card will be determined by the pace set by the leader after 26 races. Here is the pace after 19 races)

 

2005                                        2004                                        *2003                                                       *2002

1 J Johnson          2672        1 J Johnson      2850            1 M Kenseth    2848                             1 S Marlin              2604

10 D Jarrett           -418         10 R Newman    -502            10 J Burton      -648                              10 B Elliott              -313

9 teams within 400 pts       5 teams within 400              4 teams within 400                              11 teams within 400

6 teams with 156 of 10^th      3 teams within 156 of 10th 6 teams with 156 of 10^th                      2 teams within 156 of 10th

·          Chase for the Nextel Cup format not in effect

 

JUNE PERFORMANCE (4 Races:  Dover #1, Pocono #1, Michigan #1, Infineon)

Driver                                     Pts.            Start of Month       Month Finish                    Spots Gained/Lost

1—Mark Martiin                   599                          12                            5                                              +7

2—Rusty Wallace                 584                          11                            6                                              +5

3—Greg Biffle                       574                          2                              1                                              +1

4—Tony Stewart                  564                          6                              4                                              +2

5—Kurt Busch                      537                          10                            8                                              +2

6—Michael Waltrip               532                          18                            15                                            +3

7—Elliott Sadler                    531                          3                              3                                              E

8—Kyle Busch                      516                          22                            19                                            +3

9—Carl Edwards                  504                          8                              9                                              -1

10—Matt Kenseth                503                          23                            20                                            +3

11—Joe Nemechek             496                          19                            17                                            +2

12—Jeremy Mayfield          485                          13                            11                                            +2

13—Jimmie Johnson          481                          1                              2                                              -1

14—Jamie McMurray          472                          9                              10                                            -1

15—Ryan Newman               464                          4                              7                                              -3

15—Dale Jarrett                   464                          14                            12                                            +2

17—Jeff Burton                    436                          17                            16                                            +1

18—Brian Vickers                431                          27                            23                                            +4

19—Travis Kvapil                 409                          33                            29                                            +4

20—Casey Mears                408                          28                            25                                            +3
21—Kevin Harvick                370                          7                              13                                            -6

22—Scott Riggs                    367                          21                            22                                            -1

23—Bobby Labonte             364                          24                            26                                            -2

24—Ricky Rudd                    361                          32                            30                                            +2

25—Dave Blaney                   328                          25                            27                                            -2

25—Scott Wimmer              328                          35                            34                                            +1

27—Jeff Gordon                   320                          5                              14                                            -9

28—Jeff Green                     316                          31                            31                                            E

29—Dale Earnhardt Jr.        310                          15                            18                                            -3

29—Sterling Marlin              310                          20                            24                                            -4

31—Kyle Petty                      306                          30                            32                                            -2

32—Ken Schrader                297                          26                            28                                            -2

33—Kasey Kahne                 289                          16                            21                                            -5

34—Mike Bliss                     295                          29                            33                                            -4

35—Mike Wallace                *188                          34                            35                                            -1

* Wallace missed the Infineon race

 

MAY PERFORMANCE (4 Races:  Talladega, Darlington, Richmond, Charlotte)

Driver                                     Pts.             Start of Month       Month Finish                   Spots Gained/Lost

1—Greg Biffle                       624                          3                              2                              +1

2—Tony Stewart                  575                          14                            6                              +8

3—Kasey Kahne                   541                          20                            16                            +4

4—Jamie McMurray            539                          15                            9                              +6

5—Ryan Newman                 536                          7                              4                              +3

6—Kevin Harvick                  534                          11                            7                              +4

7—Elliott Sadler                    533                          5                              3                              +2

8—Bobby Labonte               528                          34                            24                            +10

9—Jeremy Mayfield            513                          16                            13                            +3

10—Jeff Gordon                   489                          4                              5                              -1

11—Jimmie Johnson          487                          1                              1                              E

12—Carl Edwards                480                          8                              8                              E

13—Ken Schrader                472                          32                            26                            +6

14—Rusty Wallace               469                          10                            11                            -1

15—Dale Jarrett                   459                          13                            14                            -1

16—Dale Earnhardt Jr.        450                          12                            15                            -3

17—Jeff Burton                    446                          17                            17                            E

18—Joe Nemechek             433                          24                            19                            +5

19—Michael Waltrip             429                          18                            18                            E

20—Mark Martin                  426                          6                              12                            -6

21—Jeff Green                     406                          29                            31                            +2

22—Matt Kenseth                401                          28                            23                            +5

23—Ricky Rudd                    390                          31                            32                            -1

24—Kyle Busch                    387                          25                            22                            +3

25—Mike Wallace                 371                          36                            34                            +2

26—Kurt Busch                    354                          2                              10                            -8

27—Dave Blaney                   340                          21                            25                            -4

28—Travis Kvapil                 336                          30                            33                            -3

29—Scott Wimmer              334                          33                            35                            -2

30—Scott Riggs                    333                          19                            21                            -2

31—Mike Bliss                     331                          27                            29                            -2

32—Brian Vickers                319                          23                            27                            -4

33—Casey Mears                312                          26                            28                            -2

34—Kyle Petty                      299                          22                            30                            -8

35—Sterling Marlin              246                          9                              20                            -11

 

APRIL PERFORMANCE  (4 Races:  Bristol, Martinsville, Texas, Phoenix)

Driver                                     Pts.              Start of Month       Month Finish                  Spots Gained/Lost

1—Earnhardt Jr.                   582                          26                            12                            +14

2—Jimmie Johnson            580                          1                              1                              E

3—Jeff Gordon                     563                          12                            4                              +8

4—Sterling Marlin                530                          16                            9                              +7

5—Elliott Sadler                    527                          8                              5                              +3

6—Michael Waltrip               514                          27                            18                            +9

7—Kurt Busch                      510                          4                              2                              +2

8—Jeremy Mayfield            494                          21                            16                            +5

9—Dale Jarrett                     491                          15                            13                            +2

10—Rusty Wallace               483                          9                              10                            -1

11—Kevin Harvick                482                          11                            11                            E

12—Ryan Newman               479                          6                              7                              -1

13—Jeff Burton                    462                          20                            17                            +3

14—Kasey Kahne                 461                          28                            20                            +8

15—Mark Martin                  458                          5                              6                              -1

16—Greg Biffle                     454                          2                              3                              -1

17—Joe Nemechek             444                          29                            24                            +5

18—Jamie McMurray          437                          10                            15                            -5

18—Ricky Rudd                    437                          39                            31                            +8

20—Kyle Petty                      417                          24                            22                            +2

21—Scott Riggs                    415                          18                            19                            -1

22—Brian Vickers                406                          22                            23                            -1

22—Matt Kenseth                406                          31                            28                            +3

24—Tony Stewart                399                          7                              14                            -7

25—Carl Edwards                386                          3                              8                              -5

26—Kyle Busch                    372                          19                            25                            -6

27—Bobby Labonte             365                          37                            34                            +3

28—Casey Mears                357                          17                            26                            -9

29—Travis Kvapil                 344                          32                            30                            +2

30—Dave Blaney                   340                          14                            21                            -7

31—Ken Schrader                338                          33                            32                            +1

32—Mike Bliss                     307                          13                            27                            -14

32—Jeff Green                     307                          23                            29                            -6

32—Jason Leffler                307                          34                            35                            -1

35—Scott Wimmer              261                          25                            33                            -8