RACE TO THE CHASE COMPARISON CHART -  After 20 Races

 

2006                                        Pts/Outof1st         2005                                        Pts/Outof1st         2004                                        Pts/Outof1st

 

1—JIMMIE JOHNSON            2939/+97                 1—JIMMIE JOHNSON            2799/+66                 1—JIMMIE JOHNSON            3040/+232

2—MATT KENSETH               2842/-97                  2—TONY STEWART              2733/-66                  2—JEFF GORDON                  2808/-232   

3—Jeff Burton                      2621/-318                3—GREG BIFFLE                    2712/-87                  3—DALE EARNHARDT JR.    2773/-267

4—Kyle Busch                      2582/-357                4—RUSTY WALLACE            2617/-182                4—MATT KENSETH               2623/-417

5—Kevin Harvick                  2563/-376                5—KURT BUSCH                    2537/-262                5—TONY STEWART              2606/-434

6—MARK MARTIN                 2557/-382                6—RYAN NEWMAN                2507/-292                6—ELLIOTT SADLER            2504/-436

7—Kasey Kahne                   2515/-424                7—MARK MARTIN                 2490/-309                7—KURT BUSCH                    2481/-559

8—Denny Hamlin                  2514/-425                8—JEREMY MAYFIELD         2394/-405                8—RYAN NEWMAN                2472/-568

9—Jeff Gordon                     2512/-427                9—Elliott Sadler                   2391/-408                9—Bobby Labonte               2466/-574

10—TONY STEWART            2477/-462                10—Dale Jarrett                   2372/-427                10—Kevin Harvick                2420/-620

                                                Pts/Outof10th                                                       Pts/Outof10th                                                       Pts/Outof10th

11—Dale Earnhardt Jr.        2462/-15                  11—Jamie McMurray          2363/-9                    11—JEREMY MAYFIELD       2380/-40

12—GREG BIFFLE 2433/-44                                  12—CARL EDWARDS            2360/-12                  12—Kasey Kahne                 2351/-69

                                                                                13—Kevin Harvick                2299/-73                  13—MARK MARTIN               2331/-89

13—KURT BUSCH                  2311/-166                14—Dale Earnhardt Jr.        2262/-110                14—Dale Jarrett                   2317/-103

14—CARL EDWARDS            2242/-235                15—Jeff Gordon                   2258/-114                15—Jamie McMurray          2287/-133

15—Casey Mears                2185/-292                                                                                                         

                                                                                16—Joe Nemechek             2169/-203                16—Casey Mears                2197/-223

18—RYAN NEWMAN              2080/-397                17—MATT KENSETH             2159/-213                17—Michael Waltrip             2165/-255

34—JEREMY MAYFIELD       1607/-870                18—Jeff Burton                    2137/-235                18—Sterling Marlin              2159/-261

                                                                                19—Michael Waltrip             2122/-250                19—Terry Labonte              2159/-261

                                                                                20—Kyle Busch                   2092/-280                20—Rusty Wallace               2150/-270

ALL CAPS made 05 Chase                                 ALL CAPS made 05 Chase                                 ALL CAPS made 04 Chase

 

 

WHAT IT TOOK TO MAKE THE FIRST TWO CHASES

 

2005                                        Pts          Out of 11th            2004                                                        Out of 11th

1—TONY STEWART              3716        +727                        1—JEFF GORDON                  3602        +431       

2—GREG BIFFLE                    3531        +542                        2—JIMMIE JOHNSON            3542        +371

3—RUSTY WALLACE            3412        +423                        3—DALE EARNHARDT JR.    3541        +370

4—JIMMIE JOHNSON            3400        +411                        4—TONY STEWART              3410        +239

5—KURT BUSCH                    3304        +315                        5—MATT KENSETH               3337        +166

6—MARK MARTIN                 3273        +284                        6—ELLIOTT SADLER            3316        +145

7—JEREMY MAYFIELD         3228        +239                        7—KURT BUSCH                    3309        +138

8—CARL EDWARDS              3114        +125                        8—MARK MARTIN                 3213        +42

9—MATT KENSETH               3114        +125                        9—JEREMY MAYFIELD         3193        +22

10—RYAN NEWMAN              3055        +66                          10—RYAN NEWMAN              3186        +15

                                                                Out of 10^th                                                                              Out of 10th

11—Elliott Sadler                  2989        -66                           11—Jamie McMurray          3171        -15

12—Jeff Gordon                   2972        -83           -               12—Kasey Kahne                 3158        -28

13—Jamie McMurray          2972        -83                           13—Bobby Labonte             3137        -49

14—Kevin Harvick                2937        -118                         14—Kevin Harvick                3129        -57

15—Dale Jarrett                   3100        -86

THE HEAT INDEX

(Last 5 races, only drivers in top 35)

RED HOT                                                                 ICE COLD

1—Kyle Busch                      787/+8                                     1—Jeremy Mayfield            371/-2

2—Jeff Burton                      733/+4                                     2—Kyle Petty                        374/E

3—Jeff Gordon                     716/+2                                     3—Dale Jarrett                     387/-6

4—Kevin Harvick                 714/+3                                     4—Ken Schrader                  388/-1

5—Denny Hamlin                  705/+1                                     5—Sterling Marlin                401/+3

6—Kurt Busch                      691/+3                                     6—Joe Nemechek               410/-1

7—Jimmie Johnson            644/E                                       7—Jeff Green                       416/-2

8—Brian Vickers                  636/+6                                     8—Dale Earnhardt Jr.          442/-7

9—Greg Biffle                       626/-2                                      9—Kasey Kahne                   464/-4

10—Matt Kenseth                624/E                                       9—Jamie McMurray            464/-2

               

THE TURNAROUNDS

(Position in Race to the Chase Versus Last Year at this time)

GOOD TURNS                                                                                         BAD TURNS

Rank-Driver                           05            04            Diff.                         Rank-Driver                           05            04            Diff.

1—Denny Hamlin                  8              34            +26                          1—Jeremy Mayfield            34            8              -26

2—Kyle Busch                      4              20            +16                          2—Dale Jarrett                     25            10            -15

3—Matt Kenseth                 2              17            +15                          3—Joe Nemechek               30            16            -14

3—Jeff Burton                      3              18            +15                          4—Ryan Newman                 18            6              -12

5—Kasey Kahne                   7              21            +14                          5—Elliott Sadler                    20            9              -11

6—Robby Gordon                27            39            +12                          6—Greg Biffle                       12            3              -9

 

PROJECTING THE SITUATION GOING INTO RICHMOND

(Projecting next five races, based on last five)

 

Current Top 10                     Over 11^th                                                Going Into Richmond

 

1. Jimmie Johnson             +477                                        1. Jimmie Johnson             +581        Clinched

2. Matt Kenseth                    +380                                        2. Matt Kenseth                    +464        Clinched

3. Jeff Burton                        +159                                        3. Kyle Busch                        +367        Clinched

4. Kyle Busch                        +120                                        4. Jeff Burton                        +352        Clinched

5. Kevin Harvick                    +101                                        5. Kevin Harvick                    +275        Clinched

6. Mark Martin                      +95                                          6. Jeff Gordon                      +226        Clinched

7. Kasey Kahne                     +53                                          7. Denny Hamlin                   +217        Clinched

8. Denny Hamlin                   +52                                          8. Mark Martin                      +123        In contention

9. Jeff Gordon                      +50                                          9. Greg Biffle                         +57          In contention

10. Tony Stewart                  +15                                          10. Tony Stewart                  +24          In contention

11. Dale Earnhardt Jr.          -15                                           11. Kurt Busch                      -24           In contention

12. Greg Biffle                       -44                                           12. Kasey Kahne                   -47           In contention

13. Kurt Busch                      -166                                         13. Dale Earnhardt Jr.          -122         In contention

14. Carl Edwards                  -235                                         14. Brian Vickers                 -256         Eliminated

15. Casey Mears                  -292                                         15. Carl Edwards                  -264         Eliminated

 

 

 

CURRENT CHASE FIELD BY OWNER, BY MANUFACTURER

 

HENDRICK (3)  1—Jimmie Johnson; 4—Kyle Busch;  9—Jeff Gordon

ROUSH (2)  2—Matt Kenseth; 6—Mark Martin

CHILDRESS (2)  3—Jeff Burton;  5—Kevin Harvick

GIBBS (2)  8—Denny Hamlin; 10—Tony Stewart

EVERNHAM (1)  7—Kasey Kahne

 

CHEVROLET           7             

FORD                       2

DODGE                    1  

 

 

MARGIN NEEDED FOR EARLY CLINCHES

 

After California    191-point advantage over 11^th place

After Bristol          381-point advantage over 11^th place

After Michigan     571-point advantage over 11^th place