2010 RACE TO THE CHASE

After Race #24 of 26:  Bristol #2

Races Left to the Chase:  2

 

Atlanta

Richmond                            

 

                                                Out         Last        Gain/Loss                                             Top         Top         Bot

10/LW/LY                 Pts       of 13^th    Race      13^th         Lst 5       W—2—3               5s           10s         10s

 

1/1/24-Harvick     3521       +701       14/121   +21         776/E      3—3—2                 11           16           2

2/2/3-JGORDON   3242       +422       11/135   +35         600/E      0—2—4                 10           13           0

3/8/13-KyBusch   3170       +350       1/195      +95         682/+3   3—1—2                 6              12           2

4/6/5-EDWARDS  3113       +293       12/127   +27         768/+6   0—1—2                 5              12           1

5/3/4-HAMLIN       3108       +288       34/61      -39          566/-1    5—1—0                 9              10           2

6/4/1-STEWART   3107       +287       27/87      -13          718/+3   0—3—1                 6              13           0

7/7/18-Burton       3101       +281       16/115   +15         636/E      0—1—1                 4              12           0

8/9/12-Kenseth    3095       +275       10/134   +34         649/E      0—1—1                 5              10           0

9/5/2-JOHNSON   3077       +257       35/63      -37          520/-6    5—1—1                 8              12           4

10/10/6-KUBSH    3073       +253       9/138      +38         549/-5    2—0—4                 8              14           3

11/11/8-BIFFLE     3055       +235       8/142      +42         763/E      1—0—2                 5              14           1

12/12/15-Bowyer 2920      +100       4/165      +65         634/E      0—0—0                 4              12           1

                                                Out of

                                                12^th

13/15/22-McMury 2820     -100        3/170      +5           715/+5   2—3—1                 7              9              3

14/13/10-MARTIN 2819      -101        23/99      -66          570/E      0—0—0                 5              7              1

15/14/7-NEWMAN 2802     -118        6/150      -15          615/+1   1—0—0                 2              7              3

16/16/11-KAHNE  2784      -136        5/155      -10          618/+1   0—2—0                 6              8              4

17/18/16-Reutmn 2765      -155        2/175      +10         575/-2    1—1—0                 5              5              3

18/17/21-DaleJr  2750       -170        13/124   -41          479/-5    0—1—0                 2              6              0

 

2009  Chase participants in ALL CAPS

 

CHASE SEEDING

1—Jimmie Johnson          5050                       7—Tony Stewart                 5000

2—Denny Hamlin                5050                       8—Jeff Gordon                    5000

3—Kevin Harvick                5030                       9—Carl Edwards                5000

4—Kyle Busch                     5030                       10—Jeff Burton                  5000

5—Kurt Busch                     5020                       11—Matt Kenseth              5000

6—Greg Biffle                      5010                       12—Clint Bowyer                5000

 

 

NOTES:

·          NOT MUCH PRESSURE ON TOP 12:  Only Clint Bowyer is within one race of dropping out of the T12 with two to go, and we could see nine drivers clinch at Atlanta. This ties 2007, when only one driver was within range of dropping out.

·          WORST EVER FOR JIMMIE AT THIS POINT? NOT SO FAST:  While Jimmie Johnson’s ninth in the standings with two go before the Chase is the lowest positon he’s had in the seven years of the Chase, his 3077 points is still 18 ahead of the same point in 2007, and he went on to win his second championship that year.

·          GREAT CHARGE BY MCMURRAY. Jamie McMurray may run out of time in chasing down Clint Bowyer, but he has made a great run, picking up five spots over the last five races and outscoring Bowyer by 81 points.

 

CLINCH SCENARIOS – 1-Kevin Harvick clinched at Michigan. 2-Jeff Gordon clinched at Bristol. After Atlanta,  +196 margin needed.

 

 

RACE TO THE CHASE COMPARISON CHARTS 2004-2009

 

                                       Out of

2009                       Pts/13^th

1-STEWART         3564/+653

2-JJOHNSON       3344/+433

3-JGORDON         3310/+399

4-HAMLIN              3141/+230

5-EDWARDS         3110/+199

6-KUBUSCH          3103/+192

7-NEWMAN           2995/+84

8-BIFFLE                2986/+75

9-MONTOYA         2975/+64

10-MARTIN           2971/+60

11-KAHNE             2963/+52

12-Kenseth          2945/+34

                                         Out of

                                         12^th

13-Ky Busch        2911/-34

14-VICKERS         2906/-39

15-Bowyer            2833/-112

16-Reutimn          2785/-160

18-Burton             2568/-377

21-Dale Jr             2416/-529

24-Harvick            2300/-645

 

                                      Out of                                                      out of                                                    out of

2008                       pts/13^th                  2007                       pts/13^th                  2006                       pts/11th

1- KY BUSCH        3609/+766            1-JGORDON         3582/+861            1-JJOHNSON       3499/+540

2-C EDWARDS     3397/+554            2-T STEWART      3233/+512            2-M KENSETH      3492/+533

3-DALE JR            3193/+350            3-D HAMLIN          3229/+508            3-K HARVICK        3178/+219

4-J JOHNSON      3191/+348            4-M KENSETH      3163/+442            4-KY BUSCH         3097/+138

5-J BURTON         3117/+274            5-C EDWARDS     3160/+439            5-J GORDON        3091/+132

6-T STEWART      3013/+170            6-J JOHNSON      3059/+338            6-D HAMLIN          3070/+111

7-G BIFFLE            2984/+141            7-J BURTON         3054/+333            7-J BURTON         3064/+105

8- K HARVICK       2972/+129            8-KY BUSCH         3024/+303            8-T Stewart          3056/+97

9-J GORDON        2951/+108            9-C BOWYER        2944/+223            9-DALE JR            3051/+92

10-M KENSETH    2921/+78               10-K HARVICK     2888/+167            10-M MARTIN       3049/+90

11-D HAMLIN        2900/+57               11-M TRUEX         2887/+166                           

12-C BOWYER     2855/+12               12-KU BUSCH      2879/+158

 

13-D Ragan          2843/-12                13-Dale Jr             2721/-158             11-K KAHNE         2959/-90

14-K Kahne          2799/-56                                               

 

                                                                                               

2005                                                       2004

1-T STEWART     3410/+622            1-JGORDON         3380/+488

2-J JOHNSON      3197/+409            2-J JOHNSON      3356/+464

3-G BIFFLE            3186/+398            3-DALE JR            3305/+413

4-R WALLACE      3139/+351            4-T STEWART      3195/+303

5-M MARTIN         3014/+226            5-M KENSETH      3156/+264

6-J MAYFIELD      2983/+195            6-KU BUSCH       3051/+159

7-KU BUSCH         2982/+194            7-E SADLER          3019/+127

8-C EDWARDS     2849/+61               8-K Harvick          2923/+31

9-R NEWMAN       2819/+31               9-B Labonte         2919/+27

10-J Gordon         2799/+11               10-R NEWMAN     2918/+26

 

11-M KENSETH    2788/-11                11-K Kahne          2892/-26

12-J McMurray    2787/-12                12-M MARTIN       2883/-35

13-E Sadler          2765/-34                13-J MAYFIELD    2883/-35

14-D Jarrett         2721/-78                14-D Jarrett         2873/-45

15-Dale Jr             2682/-117             15-J McMurray    2873/-45               

16-K Harvick        2677/-122            

17-J Nemechek  2660/-139

 

 

Eventual champion in italics

 

Underline denotes last driver with more than one-race margin over 13^th place.

Until 2007, the most points a driver could lose to another driver if started  the race was 156.

With the extra five points for winning instituted in 2007, a driver can now lose 161.

 

WHO MADE THE CHASE, YEAR BY YEAR

 

                                                2010       2009       2008       2007       2006       2005       2004

Jimmie Johnson                                 X                 X             X             X             X             X         6 of 6

 

Denny Hamlin                                      X                 X             X             X            NA           NA        4 of 4

 

Jeff Gordon                          X             X                 X             X             X             No           X         6 of 7

 

Matt Kenseth                                       No               X             X             X             X             X         5 of 6

 

Tony Stewart                                       X                 X             X            No            X             X         5 of 6

 

Mark Martin                                         X                NA            NA           X             X             X         4 of 4

 

Kurt Busch                                           X                No            X            No            X             X         4 of 6

 

Carl Edwards                                       X                 X             X            No            X            NA        4 of 5

 

Kyle Busch                                           No               X             X             X            No           NA        3 of 5

 

Greg Biffle                                            X                 X            No           No            X            No        3 of 6

 

Dale Jr                                                   No               X            No            X            No             X        3 of 6

 

Jeff Burton                                           No               X             X             X            No           No        3 of 6

 

Kevin Harvick                         X          No               X             X             X            No           No        4 of 7

 

Jeremy Mayfield                    NA        NA              NA           NA           NA            X             X         2 of 2

 

Ryan Newman                                     X                No           No           No            X             X         3 of 6

 

Clint Bowyer                                        No               X             X            No           NA           NA        2 of 4

 

Kasey Kahne                                       X                No           No            X            No           No        2 of 6

 

Juan Montoya                                      X                No           No           NA           NA           NA        1 of 3

 

Martin Truex                                        No              No            X            No           NA           NA        1 of 4

 

Rusty Wallace                        NA        NA              NA           NA           NA            X            No        1 of 2

 

Brian Vickers                          No       X                No           No           No           No           No        1 of 7

 

Elliott Sadler                            No       No              No           No           No           No            X         1 of 7