LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MARCH 06: Kyle Larson, driver of the #5 HendrickCars.com Chevrolet, Kevin Harvick, driver of the #4 Rheem Smurfit Kappa Ford, and Chase Briscoe, driver of the #14 Mahindra Tractors Ford, race during the NASCAR Cup Series Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 06, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images) | Getty Images
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MARCH 06: Kyle Larson, driver of the #5 HendrickCars.com Chevrolet, Kevin Harvick, driver of the #4 Rheem Smurfit Kappa Ford, and Chase Briscoe, driver of the #14 Mahindra Tractors Ford, race during the NASCAR Cup Series Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 06, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Kyle Larson the Favorite to Win at Phoenix Raceway

It’s Kyle Larson’s world and we’re all driving in it. Last year’s Cup champion has gotten off to a flying start this season, and oddsmakers don’t expect that to stop this week. Larson has finishes of first and second the last two weeks, and oddsmakers expect him to win again this weekend.

He’s given +350 odds, or an implied 22.2% chance to win the race. In a distant second are Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch who’re given +750 odds, or an implied 11.8% chance to pull off the upset.

Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliot, and Joey Logano are all also considered real possibilities to win the race. The trio are given +800 odds, or an implied 11.1% chance to take home first place. That means there’s 6 racers given +800 odds or better, that’s the most of any race this season. The previous best was just 3 racers.

Quote from OddsChecker spokesman Kyle Newman, “Larson is the clear favorite to win this race, but oddsmakers are taking the competition seriously. For only the second time this season, oddsmakers see a competitive race. This isn’t as competitive as the Daytona 500 odds, but 6 racers being given better than an 11% chance to win is nothing to sneeze at.”

Driver Odds Implied chance
Kyle Larson +350 22.2%
Martin Truex Jr. +750 11.8%
Kyle Busch +750 11.8%
Denny Hamlin +800 11.1%
Chase Elliot +800 11.1%
Joey Logano +800 11.1%
Ryan Blaney +1200 7.7%
William Byron +1400 6.7%
Kevin Harvick +2000 4.8%
Christopher Bell +2500 3.8%

OddsChecker