For the first time this season there isn’t a clear favorite to win a race. Heading into the Toyota Owners 400 this weekend, oddsmakers can’t differentiate between Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott at the top of the market.
Larson and Elliot are both given +900 odds, or an implied 10% chance to win the race. That puts them just ahead of Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Martin Truex Jr., all of whom have +1000 odds or an implied 9.1% chance to win the race.
In fact, there are 11 drivers given at least +1400 odds to win this race. Making it by far the tightest the odds have been this year. One to keep an eye on is Ross Chastain, given +1200 odds after winning the EchoPark Grand Prix.
Quote from OddsChecker spokesman Kyle Newman, “Kyle Larson has been letting oddsmakers down in a major way this season. He’s finished 29th or worse in 4 of the 6 races, but he’s been the favorite to win 3 races already. This will be his fourth time as the favorite despite his early season struggles. That said, oddsmakers aren’t ignoring all results. Ross Chastain has finished top-3 in his last 4 races, and top-2 in his last 3. After his win, oddsmakers are ready to acknowledge him and have moved him into the top-10 on the odds market for the first time this season.”
TOYOTA OWNERS 400 WINNER ODDS
| Driver | Odds | Implied chance |
| Kyle Larson | +900 | 10% |
| Chase Elliott | +900 | 10% |
| Joey Logano | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Kyle Busch | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1000 | 9.1% |
| William Byron | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Ross Chastain | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Tyler Reddick | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Denny Hamlin | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Ryan Blaney | +1300 | 7.1% |
— OddsChecker —