Chase Clinch Scenarios going into Atlanta:

  • #29-Kevin Harvick and #24-Jeff Gordon have already clinched berths in the 2010 Chase for the Sprint Cup. A number of drivers can add their names to that coveted list. Leaving Atlanta, a driver must be 196 points ahead of 13th place to officially clinch a spot in the Chase. A few seem likely to do that; others have a chance; still others might have to wait until Richmond to cement a spot. Here’s the breakdown:
    There’s no such thing as a sure thing. But these guys are as close as it gets. Below are the finishing positions each driver would need to guarantee a Chase spot this weekend, regardless of how any other driver finishes:
    3) #18-Kyle Busch
    40th or better, no laps led
    42nd or better, at least one lap led
    43rd or better, most laps led
    4) #99-Carl Edwards
    21st or better, no laps led
    23rd or better, at least one lap led
    25th or better, most laps led
    5) #11-Denny Hamlin
    20th or better, no laps led
    22nd or better, at least one lap led
    23rd or better, most laps led
    Likely Candidates – Here are a few drivers who have a better than average shot at clinching this weekend:
    6) #14-Tony Stewart
    19th or better, no led
    21st or better, at least one lap led
    23rd or better, most laps led
    7) #31-Jeff Burton
    17th or better, no laps led
    19th or better, at least one lap led
    21st or better, most laps led
    8) #17-Matt Kenseth
    15th or better, no laps led
    17th or better, at least one lap led
    19th or better, most laps led
    Finally there are the remaining drivers who can clinch this weekend. They may have to wait until Richmond to lock up their spot:
    9) #48-Jimmie Johnson
    10th or better, no laps led
    11th or better, at least one lap led
    13th or better, most laps led
    10) #2-Kurt Busch
    9th or better, no laps led
    10th or better, at least one lap led
    11th or better, most laps led
    11) #16-Greg Biffle
    4th or better, no laps led
    5th or better, at least one lap led
    7th or better, most laps led
    12) #33-Clint Bowyer
    Currently 100 points ahead of 13th, Bowyer would need to gain 96 points. Therefore, there is no finish that would guarantee a Chase spot. He would need to finish strong, and get some help.(NASCAR)(8-31-2010)