FONTANA, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 26: Kyle Busch, driver of the #8 Lucas Oil Chevrolet, celebrates in victory lane after winning the NASCAR Cup Series Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway on February 26, 2023 in Fontana, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images) | Getty Images
FONTANA, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 26: Kyle Busch, driver of the #8 Lucas Oil Chevrolet, celebrates in victory lane after winning the NASCAR Cup Series Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway on February 26, 2023 in Fontana, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Kyle Busch favored to win Pennzoil 400

After his victory on Sunday, Kyle Busch is expected to do it again in Las Vegas. That’s right, unlike last season when the books pushed Kyle Larson exclusively early in the season, this year they’ve quickly pivoted to Kyle Busch. The Candy Man is the favorite to take home a second straight win.

Busch is given +650 odds, or an implied 13.3% chance to win the Pennzoil 400. It would be the first time Busch has won back to back races since 2019. His biggest competition is expected to be Kyle Larson who’s given +800 odds, or an implied 11.1% chance to win and get his season on track. They’re followed by current cup leader Ross Chastain who’s given +850 odds, or an implied 10.5% chance.

This race also marks the first time this season that Chase Elliott is not among the top-5 on the market. Elliott is now given +1200 odds, or an implied 7.7% chance to win. That has him sixth on the market, tied with Martin Truex Jr and Ryan Blaney.

Quote from OddsChecker spokesman Kyle Newman, “Las Vegas is one of Kyle Busch’s favorite tracks. Over the last 5 seasons, Busch has four top-4 finishes in this race. He’s also won this race, though that was way back in 2009. Given his strong performance last week perhaps this is the year Busch gets another victory here.”

PENNZOIL 400 WINNER

Driver Odds Implied chance
Kyle Busch +650 13.3%
Kyle Larson +800 11.1%
Ross Chastain +850 10.5%
Joey Logano +900 10%
Denny Hamlin +1100 8.3%
Chase Elliott +1200 7.7%
Martin Truex Jr +1200 7.7%
Ryan Blaney +1200 7.7%
Christopher Bell +1400 6.7%
William Byron +1800 5.3%

— OddsChecker —