The greatest comeback in Chase history is Matt Kenseth’s charge over the final four races in 2006. After an 18th at Watkins Glen, Kenseth stood 162 points out of 10th place. Here’s what he did from there: Michigan 3rd 170 points Bristol 1st 190 points California 7th 151 points Richmond 2nd 175 points Mark Martin overcame a 72 point deficit in the first Race to the Chase in 2004. Here’s his four race chart in 2004: Michigan 2nd 175 points Bristol 13th 124 points California 3rd 175 points Richmond 5th 155 points WHAT’S SAFE? In 2006, Tony Stewart seemed relatively safe in 7th place, 122 points ahead of 11th place. Stewart missed the Chase. Sixth place Jeff Gordon fell back into the danger zone with his 29th at the Glen, and now sits just 148 points ahead of 13th place Clint Bowyer. For the seventh consecutive race, we saw a change in the Chase field as Matt Kenseth replaced Clint Bowyer in 12th, finishing 12th to Bowyer’s 22nd at the Glen. Kenseth could gain more ground at Michigan this Sunday. We now have nine drivers fighting for seven spots at risk. David Ragan lost 43 precious points to 12th place with his 30th at the Glen, but he should a contender for a top five at MIS after getting an eighth in June. California should be another opportunity for the Roush Fenway driver. Leaving Michigan, you will need a 586-point lead over 13th place to be assured a spot in the 2008 Chase, even if you don’t start any of the three remaining races. Kyle Busch enters Michigan with a 648-point margin over 13th and should wrap up the first clinch spot at MIS. See my Chase Stats after Watkins Glen page.(8-13-2008)
