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NASCAR Cup Series Clinch Scenarios at Charlotte

NOTE: The original post had incorrect scenarios for Chase Elliott. Those are now believed to be correct but we are awaiting confirmation from NASCAR.

This weekend’s Bank of America 400 at the Charlotte Motor Speedway ROVAL will bring the second round of the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs to a close and four more drivers will be eliminated from the postseason bringing the total to eight. Two drivers, Denny Hamlin and Kurt Busch are locked in on wins and moving on, leaving six spots still up for grabs. All remaining drivers can clinch a spot in the next round with a win at Charlotte.

Already Clinched

The following two drivers have clinched a spot in the eight-driver field of the next round: Denny Hamlin, Kurt Busch.

Can clinch via Points

If there is a new winner, the following drivers could clinch by being ahead of the 6th winless driver in the standings.

  • Kevin Harvick: Would clinch with 8 points
  • Chase Elliott: Would clinch with 32 points
  • Brad Keselowski: Would clinch with 35 points
  • Martin Truex Jr.: Would clinch with 44 points
  • Alex Bowman: Would clinch with 54 points
  • Joey Logano: Would clinch with 55 points
  • Kyle Busch, Austin Dillon, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola: Could only clinch with help

If there is a repeat winner, the following drivers could clinch by being ahead of the 7th winless driver in the standings.  They would also clinch if there was a new winner among Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski, Martin Truex Jr., Chase Elliott, Alex Bowman or Joey Logano and being ahead of the 6th winless driver in the standings.

  • Kevin Harvick: Would clinch regardless of finish
  • Chase Elliott: Would clinch with 12 points
  • Brad Keselowski: Would clinch with 15 points
  • Martin Truex Jr.: Would clinch with 24 points
  • Alex Bowman: Would clinch with 34 points
  • Joey Logano: Would clinch with 35 points
  • Kyle Busch, Austin Dillon, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola: Could only clinch with help

— NASCAR —